Shifting baselines is a concept involving our perception of things over time. As time progresses, what we see as “normal” will continue to change. If years go by without a thorough understanding of “baseline” conditions we may over look these drastic changes. Some fish species have been driven to extinction due to lack of recording keeping. Other evidence of the shifting baseline phenomenon is provided in McClenachan’s article Documenting Loss of Large Trophy Fish from the Florida Keys with Historical Photographs (McClenachan, 2008). The results presented by McClenachan provide a tangible example of shifting baselines through current and historical photographs of trophy fish caught near the Florida Keys. It was seen that over time the size of specific species of fish (and sharks) were declining.
Another group of species subjected to shifting baselines was studied by Baum and Myers. Looking at the loss of habitat specific sharks in the Gulf of Mexico between the 1950s and 1990s, it was found that the quantity and size of particular shark species have been gradually declining (Baum and Myers, 2004). As with many declining species, harvesting seemed to have a role in the decline of these sharks, despite the fact that they were not the intended target fish, as acknowledged by the authors. The results show that many of these shark species are no longer reaching the full physical size nor surviving as long.
Lastly, harvesting practices are not sustainable for populations of this size. Management plans designed to sustain fish communities (such as the Maximum Sustainable Yield method) require meticulous attention from ecological scientists. Without this supervision, models designed to forecas fish communities will not fully represent the impact of harvesting activities (Pauly, 1995).
In conclusion, there are many factors that influence shifting baselines. Human influence from activities such as harvesting are further complicating this perceptive phenomenon (Pauly,1995). The influence of human activity has even gotten to the point where some have claimed that even through reduced human impact, ecosystems may never recover (Durante et al. 2009).
Cited Literature:
Baum J. K., R. A. Myers. 2004. Shifting Baselines and the Decline of Pelagic Sharks in the Gulf of Mexico. Ecology Letters. 7 : 135 – 145
Durante C. M., D. J. Conley, J. Carstensen, M. Sanchez-Camacho. 2009. Return to Neverland: Shifting Baselines Affect Eutrophication Restoration Targets. Estuaries and Coast. 32: 29 – 36
McClenachan L. 2008. Documenting Loss of Large Trophy Fish from the Florida Keys with Historical Photographs. Conservation Biology. DOI: 10.1111/j.1523-1739.2008.00152.x
Paully D. 1995. Anecdotes and the Shifting Baesline Syndrome of Fisheries.Trends in Ecology and Evolution. 10(10): 430.